Who Has the Injury Bug?

This condensed NBA season has featured a high number of injuries, especially to notable players.  In this post, I am going to discuss what teams are in the most trouble with their current injuries.  While some teams have been impacted by recent injuries, I am only looking at players who are currently missing time or currently dealing with injuries.  I will focus on players who have an injury that has caused them to miss a substantial number of games.  I will also not discuss season-ending injuries that were sustained in the offseason or early in the season, so apologies in advance to leave off players such as Klay Thompson, Jaren Jackson Jr., T.J. Warren, Jonathan Isaac, Zach Collin, Thomas Bryant, Markelle Fultz, and Killian Hayes.

All injuries are accurate as of prior to the games played on April 14th.  All states come from Basketball-Reference.com.

There is also a bonus regarding Daunte Wright’s murder.

 

1. Los Angeles Lakers

Their two superstars, LeBron James and Anthony Davis, have missed a substantial amount of time.  LeBron’s last game was March 20th and could miss 3 more weeks while Davis last played on February 14th but will be re-evaluated on the 15th (he could potentially return within 10 games).  In the time both have been out, the team has been 5-7 and dropped to 5th.  Even with LeBron and no Davis, they were only 7-8, so I still expect there will be struggles until James returns.  Unless they really struggle, I don’t expect them to drop into the play-in picture (especially with Denver’s recent injury news), but dropping to 6th could put them against the Clippers as an opening round matchup, one they would likely prefer to avoid.  There are also minor injuries that could cause some depth issues in the next few games, as Dennis Schroder, Kyle Kuzma, Andre Drummond, Marc Gasol, Wesley Matthews, and Alfonzo McKinnie are all on the injury report with day-to-day injuries.  Jared Dudley also has a torn MCL; while he wouldn’t be a large piece in the playoffs, he would help their depth in the short term.

 

2.  Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets had been surging and risen to 4th after recently ending an 8-game win streak.  Then came the worst possible news:  Jamal Murray tore his ACL and is out for the season.  Murray had played the role of their second-best player (behind MVP-candidate Nikola Jokic) and for the season averaged 21.2 PPG on 47.7% shooting and 40.8% from deep (all career highs), 4.8 APG, 4.0 RPG, and 1.3 SPG (also a career high) in a career high 35.5 MPG.  He has been surging as of late; in his last 24 games prior to the injury, he averaged 24.2 PPG (51.3% FG%, 47.1% 3P%, 94.5% FT%), 5.2 APG, 4.1 RPG, and 1.5 SPG while the team was a +7.5 with him on the court.  Overall, the team was a +6.5 with him on the court, so this will hurt without a doubt; that said, I still expect them to finish as a top-5 team.  The bigger issue is that without him I don’t consider them a contender anymore; I don’t believe Michael Porter can fill the role offensively that Murray will, and Aaron Gordon is best served as the fourth option on the team.

 

3.  Golden State Warriors

Currently, the Warriors have James Wiseman who has a torn meniscus (while no timetable has been announced, don’t be surprised if he misses the season), Eric Paschal who is still out for another week or two, and Kelly Oubre who is day to day due to a wrist injury.  They already were in trouble with their scoring outside of Steph Curry; I have liked Andrew Wiggins this year, but the three dealing with injuries might be the next three players I trust scoring.  This could be a rough run offensively for this year as the team continues to fight to try to stay in Play In consideration; they are currently 10th, but New Orleans is on their tails.

 

4.  Brooklyn Nets

While the Nets have dealt with several minor injuries lately, the most important factor to keep in mind is their Big 3:  Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Kyrie Irving.  The most important factor is that they are healthy; while Durant has returned from his injury, James Harden is dealing with a hamstring issue that has kept him out for a week and Irving has had injury issues in the past.  That said, the next most important thing is for them to get some playing time together, as they have only played 7 games together so far.  Some have compared this to the lack of chemistry found with the Clippers, but I think Harden’s playmaking and ability to run an offense will help them enough offensively.  They need all three playing together on all cylinders to guarantee they can outscore teams enough down the stretch.

 

5.  Charlotte Hornets

While the Hornets have played well this year, currently in 6th and playing well since the All-Star break, they are in a bit of trouble with injuries.  First, Rookie of the Year candidate LaMelo Ball (who has thrived for them) fractured his wrist on March 21st and is expected to be re-evaluated in a few weeks (don’t be surprised if he isn’t ready to return though).  Next, Malik Monk, tweaked his ankle at the beginning of the month and is expected to miss at least a couple weeks.  Not long after, Gordon Hayward injured his foot and will be re-evaluated in 4 in a few weeks.  The reason this is so critical for them is that they are missing their best player (Hayward), probably their third best player (Ball), and a player who would help their depth immensely with those two out (Monk).  Will Terry Rozier and co. be able to keep them out of the Play In tournament?  Don’t count on it; Boston has played better lately and is playing for their lives right now to avoid that spot.

 

6.  New Orleans Pelicans

While the Pelicans are currently 1 game out of 10th and have multiple players injured, they won their last 3 games and have often looked competitive.  They have Lonzo Ball dealing with an injury (upgraded to day-to-day though), Josh Hart out for a few more weeks, and Nickeil Alexander-Walker out for a few more weeks.  The reason I don’t consider this crucial is because they have played well using Zion Williamson as a ball handler, still have Brandon Ingram who has been strong offensively, and have Eric Bledsoe available and Isaiah Thomas recently signed to a 10-day deal.  Ball fully recovering from the injury will make this stretch much easier.

 

7.  Los Angeles Clippers

Most people won’t bat an eye when looking at the Clippers’ injury report, but it has Patrick Beverley who is out and will be re-evaluated in around 3-4 weeks and Serge Ibaka out for their current road trip.  While I doubt Ibaka’s injury is a major one, not having Beverley in the playoffs (despite his struggles to stay on the court due to foul troubles) will be essential for a team that has consistently struggled in the clutch.  While he’s been streaky offensively, he is always a pesky and annoying defender to have to face, which is what the Clippers will need if Paul George struggles as mightily as he did last year in the playoffs.

 

8.  Atlanta Hawks

The Hawks have been bit by the injury bug all season; among the players currently injured, De’Andre Hunter has only played 20 games, Cam Reddish has played 26, John Collins was recently injured (expect him to not miss a long time though), and Kris Dunn has yet to play a game for Atlanta.  They previously dealt with injuries to Bogdan Bogdanovic, Onyeka Okongwu, and the recently traded Rajon Rondo.  Now, Hunter is close to returning, Collins won’t be out much longer, Reddish will be re-evaluated in a couple weeks, and Dunn is practicing.  The team has thrived since the All-Star break and is sitting in 4th place right now, so these additions will likely help keep them in the playoff race.

 

9.  Toronto Raptors

While it is considered a day-to-day injury, Fred VanVleet has missed the last 5 games and the Raptors have gone 2-3 in that stretch.  The team still has a shot for a Play In game, but they need him back; now that Norman Powell is gone, he is their second leading scorer behind Pascal Siakam, and while his efficiency numbers have taken a bit of a dip, they are still a +3.1 with him on the court.  Fortunately, it doesn’t sound like a major injury, as that would likely ruin Toronto’s chances of making it to the playoffs.

 

10.  Memphis Grizzlies

As a testament to just how well they have played this year, they had several key players miss time (including Ja Morant), Jaren Jackson has yet to play this season, De’Anthony Melton has been out for the last 5 games, and Justise Winslow has been out for the last 9 after missing their first 25 games.  Memphis is constructed in such a way that they are an incredibly deep team, as I probably trust 12 players on their team (healthy or not) to play at least 20 minutes a game.  That said, Jackson’s presence will help, especially considering he averaged 17.4 PPG on 39.4% from 3 and 1.6 BPG last season; he could return at some point.  Melton has been a valuable player this season; while he has always been a plus defender, his shooting has emerged, with him shooting a career-high 45.3% from deep and averaging 10.1 PPG.  While Winslow has struggled upon returning from his injury, he has been aggressive and has shown glimpses that he can help the second unit.

 

11.  New York Knicks

While the Knicks have been the feel-good story of the year (for once), young center Mitchell Robinson fractured his foot in late-March and is out indefinitely.  The good news is that they have Nerlens Noel who can fill in as a starter and could attempt Julius Randle at center in glimpses if Tom Thibodeau wants (I would consider it in certain matchups, but not all).  The bad news stems more from their options after that; I would much prefer a center pairing of Robinson and Noel than I would one of Noel and Taj Gibson.  While Robinson’s game is limited to the paint, he has shot 65.3% this season and scored 8.3 PPG while adding 8.1 RPG, 1.5 BPG, 1.1 SPG, and continuously playing great defense.  Noel can provide some of the defense, but I trust Robinson more offensively.  That could hurt them a bit as they continue to push for a playoff spot.

 

12.  Sacramento Kings

The Kings made the shocking decision to buy at the trade deadline, indicating that they expect to compete for a playoff spot despite being in 12th and 4 games out at the moment.  The major active injury for them is to Marvin Bagley III, as he has a hand injury that will likely cause him to miss at least few more weeks.  While Bagley has been atrocious defensively and looked like a bust (even though I expected that when he was drafted), his jumper has developed better than I expected; this season, he has shot 35.4% from deep and is averaging 13.9 PPG with a career high 54.3 eFG%.  There are red flags though:  he has career lows in PPG and FGA, he is only shooting 56.0% from the line, and is game outside of his shooting and shot selection has not improved substantially, raising some concerns regarding what his ceiling can be.  That said, having him available would give De’Aaron Fox another player to dish it to and would help if it is worth offering him an extension this offseason.

 

13.  Miami Heat

While the Heat have dealt with all sorts of issues previously this season, they are largely healthy at the moment with the exception of newly acquired Victor Oladipo, who is set to miss a few games.  After having a bit of a resurgence to start the season in Indiana, he struggled with efficiency in Houston, shooting 40.7% from the field and 32.0% from 3 (he did average 21.2 PPG though).  In 4 games in Miami, he has only shot 37.2% from the field and 23.5% from deep while averaging just 12.0 PPG.  His defense has also bun underwhelming this season, but he is averaging 4.8 RPG and 4.6 APG; the playmaking can’t hurt.  That said, Miami needs a much better version of Oladipo if they want to repeat any of their success from last year; they are currently in 5th.  It would help to know what they have in him prior to the playoffs.

 

14.  Minnesota Timberwolves

With the Timberwolves being as horrible as they have been, this season is a lost season for them.  That said, I think it is best to use this season to see what they have in their four best players:  Karl-Anthony Towns, D’Angelo Russell, Anthony Edwards, and Malik Beasley.  The issue with that mindset this season is that most of them has missed time due to injuries, with Beasley currently scheduled to miss 4-6 weeks due to a Grade 3 hamstring injury after returning from a suspension.  He has been one of the few bright spots for them, averaging 19.6 PPG on 39.9 3P% and 54.7% eFG%, showing that his 14-game surge last season might not be such a fluke.  That said, losing Beasley prevents them from seeing what a combination of those 4 could do.  In particular, since Russell is untradeable at this point, Towns is the best player on the team, and Edwards has played well lately, seeing what Beasley could do alongside the other three would be nice to see whether they should keep him or try selling high on him.

 

15.  Oklahoma City Thunder

Not only are the Thunder totally throwing in the towel on winning, but they are also on a 7-game blowout streak; each of their last 7 games were losses by at least 10, with one even being a 48-point loss to Portland.  They are playing all their young guys and have several players dealing with minor injuries lately.  The two players who have missed substantial time recently due to injuries are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Mike Muscala.  I admittedly think Muscala was likely to be pulled from the rotation at some point to give young players the opportunity to prove themselves over the 29-year-old, but Gilgeous-Alexander’s might be slightly concerning.  He has plantar fasciitis in his right foot and was expected to miss a few weeks and return mid-April, but there hasn’t been much news regarding his return.  I expect he will be able to recover to the form he has shown this year, averaging a career-high 23.7 PPG with career highs in FG% (50.8%), 3P% (41.8%), 2P% (54.7%), consequently eFG% (57.1%), FT% (80.8%), and APG (5.9).  I don’t expect long-term issues with him, but it would be nice to see who he plays well alongside, as he will be one of their stars of the future.

 

16.  Philadelphia 76ers

Now that Joel Embiid is back from his injury and looking good, the big injury they have to deal with is George Hill’s.  He has said that there isn’t a timetable for return, but he expects to return for the playoffs.  Honestly, this is when they will need him; while it will be better to have him sooner rather than later to get him acclimated, his importance comes into play during the playoffs where they will need the depth.  While I love the trio of Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons, and Tobias Harris this season, I think Seth Curry is better suited for a 6th man role, Danny Green shouldn’t be in the starting lineup, and guys like Matisse Thybulle, Furman Korkmaz, and Shake Milton are a bit too streaky for me to feel comfortable relying on in large spurts.  They have gotten by during the regular season, but Philadelphia will need Hill.

 

17.  Houston Rockets

The Rockets have been horrible since the James Harden trade, and the two major injuries they are dealing with are injuries to Eric Gordon (expected to miss a few more weeks) and David Nwaba (expected to miss extended time).  To be blunt, neither of these are in their long-term plans, so this isn’t the biggest deal in the world.  While I might worry Gordon’s injury could hurt his trade value (I don’t think it will though), I’m not sure that the Rockets to pull the trigger on a deal.  I could see them being under the impression that they could be competitive next year depending on their makeup and if Christian Wood is healthy (a big part of why I think they were so bad this year), but this isn’t guaranteed.

 

Bonus:  Daunte Wright

On April 11th, in Brooklyn City, MN, just miles away from where the trial of Derek Chauvin for murdering George Floyd occurred, 20-year-old Daunte Wright, who is black, was killed by police officer Kimberly Ann Potter, who is white.  What started as a traffic stop that was leading to an arrest for outstanding warrants escalated to the point where Potter fatally shot Chauvin after threatening to tase him.  On April 12th, Brooklyn Center police chief Tim Gannon said that Potter intended to grab her taser and accidentally grabbed her gun.  Potter and Gannon resigned on April 13th and Potter was arrested on the 14th.  Since the shooting, riots have ensued in the area.

I have seen a lot of people focus on either the fact that another black man was murdered by police (which is tragic to witness and something that needs to be addressed to a greater extreme) or the fact that he shouldn’t have ran (I don’t feel as though I can comment on this because I have never been scared for my life that I might be killed by police as a white individual).  I want to take a different approach and focus on two things, which are both related to the response of the police department.

One thing that bothers me so much about this incident is that Potter was shouting “Taser” repeatedly before shooting Wright and then was initially defended Gannon for accidentally grabbing her gun.  I do not understand how a police officer are under the impression that it is acceptable to not recognize the difference between the two.  Before people fallaciously say that I wouldn’t know this because I haven’t dealt with the stress of this and I have never been a police officer (this argument always seems to come up and those who argue it really need to look up Ad Hominem and learn some logic), that doesn’t apply to my argument since I’m not a police officer.  I know that with my mental health I would not be able to handle the situations, but those who are trained officers should be able to identify the difference between a taser and a gun in a situation where one is needed.  Potter had worked as an officer for 26 years and was training another officer, so this should not be happening to somebody who has years of experiencing and is showing others what to do.  This is not something that should have been so quickly defensible.

The other thing that bothers me was that it took 3 days for Potter to be arrested.  While I don’t know the exact details behind the timespan, I anticipate that part of the reason it took so long was because as a state employee in this role, there would likely need to be an investigation to determine whether what she did was defensible.  One thing that slightly annoys me about the timespan is that if an individual hadn’t been an officer, an arrest warrant would have likely been issued sooner; that said, an investigation would need to be done to confirm whether shooting him was justified.  That said, this case is different because she threatened to tase Wright prior to shooting him, which should have instantly set of red flags whether this was an accident or not.  Even in the face of public pressure and scrutiny regarding this, I am slightly surprised it took as long as it did only in this case.

In situations like this, there are often people who will say that I shouldn’t post about this because I need to “stick to sports” or I’m not an expert in the field or something along those lines.  Again, these people really need to research Ad Hominem and make a greater effort to stop employing logical fallacies to their arguments.  Beyond that, just because someone isn’t an expert in a field doesn’t mean that they are automatically discredited from having an opinion.  Anybody is entitled to an opinion when somebody’s life is on the line, especially when it is a case of somebody not doing their job properly and grabbing a worse weapon than they threatened to use.  Just because this blog is about basketball doesn’t mean I am limited to talking about an NBA game.  While I frequently only discuss basketball in this blog, there are times when straying from these topics is not only good, but also necessary.

Some things are bigger than basketball.  Rest in peace Daunte Wright.

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