2022 NBA Mock Draft 2

This is my first mock draft for the 2022 NBA Draft.  This is an aggregate to reflect potential picks after the Combine and drop period for college players.  As a note, all heights and weights listed are according to measurements prior to the combine.

 

1:  Orlando Magic – Jabari Smith

Auburn, PF, Freshman, 19, 6’10, 210 lbs.

Comparison:  Maybe Rashard Lewis with better defense?

Previously Projected:  3

This pick is starting to sound like it’s near guaranteed, as it is sounding like Orlando would prefer to draft Smith (if I had to guess, it wouldn’t surprise me if they’re scared of drafting Chet Holmgren and think everyone else isn’t as good).  He is my favorite player in the draft for multiple reasons.  First off, I think he has easily the highest floor out of the top 3 while also having a high upside; in particular, the only thing I think he will need to succeed is an NBA point guard, since he’s not that great off the ball.  He is an awesome shooter, aggressive scorer (though not great in the paint yet), competitive defender, and reportedly a hard worker and beloved teammate.  I think he will fit in Orlando due to his ability to switch as a defender and play off the ball, something that will be valuable given that they have multiple guards who will have the ball in their hands.  I expect Jalen Suggs will make a jump this year or next year, making it even easier for Smith to succeed.  Either way, Orlando needs shooting and Smith can provide.

 

2:  Oklahoma City Thunder – Chet Holmgren

Gonzaga, C/PF, Freshman, 20, 7’0, 195 lbs.

Comparison:  Skinnier Evan Mobley with a jumper or skinnier Pau Gasol with a higher defensive IQ

Previously Projected:  1

While there is the possibility that Holmgren could go 1, I’d be shocked if he slipped further since it’s sounding like Oklahoma City loves Holmgren.  His potential as a shot-blocking big who can shoot makes him really exciting, especially since he is aggressive and a smart player as well.  Oklahoma City will love his upside, as this will give them another potential superstar, especially one who can space the floor giving more lanes for young point guard Josh Giddy to find when passing.  There are concerns about his size, which will likely give him trouble initially adjusting in the paint.  While I expect he will play the 4 more than the 5 to start, the Warriors would need to find a center soon since Derrick Favors is on a contract that is expiring.  That said, at worst he will be a good shooting big who can block shots, though he has star potential.

 

3:  Houston Rockets – Paolo Banchero

Duke, PF, Freshman, 19, 6’10, 250 lbs.

Comparison:  Something between Jayson Tatum and Chris Webber (I think closer to early Tatum in style)

Previously Projected:  2

While many now have Banchero a step below Smith and Holmgren, getting him third is a nice price for Houston.  He is a skilled scorer and might be among the more NBA-ready prospects due to his scoring ability.  Banchero can score from anywhere, though he tends to still favor shots inside the rim at this time.  He is a strong finisher and reminds me a bit of early career Tatum with his aggression inside the 3-point line, but I think that, like Tatum, he can ultimately expand his game past the 3-point arc as well.  The biggest issue with him is what his defense will be; I don’t see him being a good player on defense in the near future because I don’t think he will be since I don’t believe he has good defensive fundamentals or much of a defensive IQ.  I think there will be a lot of learning involved for him to be an okay defender, but Houston has the time to wait.  I think having a scoring tandem of Banchero and Jalen Green could be fun, but I am nervous about if this is the right environment for him to learn considering some issues they’ve had the last couple years with other players (though Banchero isn’t known as a bad locker room guy, so maybe my fears are totally unfounded since he does seem to play hard on offense at least).

 

4:  Sacramento Kings – Jaden Ivey

Purdue, SG, Sophomore, 20, 6’4, 200 lbs.

Comparison:  Derrick Rose

Previously Projected:  4

Let me start by saying that it is entirely possible that this pick gets traded since Sacramento is hoping to compete next year and could be willing to use this to get an NBA-ready piece.  If they don’t, I think there are 3 directions they could go with:  the likely best player available (Ivey), the best fit (Keegan Murray), or the highest upside guy (Shaden Sharpe).  While Ivey likely wouldn’t be the best fit with De’Aaron Fox and Davion Mitchell, but at worst they could use him as trade bait.  If they keep him, they will get an elite athlete who is a score-first guard.  He isn’t the best ballhandler yet and has a streaky shot, but he has shown glimpses that his defense could improve if he is more consistent.  His stats were very similar to Derrick Rose’s college numbers which should be exciting for teams (though I think his ceiling might not be quite as high, there are similarities in his game).  He is smart at positioning on both ends, which could make him a nice player off the ball and create additional passing lanes alongside De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis while also giving another aggressive scorer who can handle the ball.

 

5:  Detroit Pistons – Keegan Murray

Iowa, SF/PF, Sophomore, 21, 6’8, 215 lbs.

Comparison:  Aaron Gordon with a jumper

Previously Projected:  5

It is entirely possible that Detroit trades this pick; I am not alone in thinking that Detroit could look a lot better next season, and there were also reports that they were only interested in Smith and Holmgren initially (I wouldn’t be surprised if they are interested in Ivey as well).  If they don’t trade this pick, I expect they go with this pick because he has a high floor and will fit in perfectly.  He is a good shooter, finisher, defender, and mover off the ball, as well as possessing versatility to defend multiple positions.  While I’m not sure he has the highest ceiling, Detroit might not need him to be as Cade Cunningham continues to develop into a potential star and other young players on the team improve, including Saddiq Bey and Isaiah Stewart.  I think Murray would also allow Detroit to not feel pressure to keep Jerami Grant long-term, as his contract will be expiring soon, and he likely doesn’t make a ton of sense in the role he wants to play.  I think Murray in a role similar to that of Grant or Aaron Gordon in Denver would be how he can succeed early and would benefit the team.

 

6:  Indiana Pacers – Shaedon Sharpe

Kentucky, SG/SF, Redshirt, 19, 6’6, 175 lbs.

Comparison:  Jaylen Brown as a more willing playmaker

Previously Projected:  6

I have no idea who Indiana will draft at this spot, and it wouldn’t surprise me if they pass on Sharpe here and instead opt for someone like Dyson Daniels.  Ultimately, who they select will depend on whether they are looking to be more competitive in the short-term or whether they are not worried about short-term with this selection.  Sharpe is a bit of a mystery since he is effectively jumping from high school (while he attended Kentucky as a redshirt freshman, he never played) and doesn’t have as much competitive experience as anyone else in the lottery, but he is an incredible athlete with some nice fundamentals, especially as a shooter, defender, and passer.  I think his weaknesses stem more from his lack of experience, as his shot selection and defensive consistency should improve.  While Indiana has several good young players, the one with the highest upside is probably Tyrese Haliburton, someone who isn’t a lock to be a star (though I think he’ll be a special player); Sharpe gives them a player with a higher upside than anyone else on their team.

 

7:  Portland Trail Blazers – Bennedict Mathurin

Arizona, SG, Sophomore, 20, 6’7, 195 lbs.

Comparison:  More athletic and consistent Jordan Clarkson

Previously Projected:  7

While I am not certain who Portland would take and could see Mathurin going earlier, I think they will take the best player available at this point, which many think is Mathurin.  He has thrived in college as an off-ball player (as a freshman) and as an on-ball option (as a sophomore), suggesting that he is able to succeed in either situation.  He is also an amazing athlete and while he only participated in some measurements at the combine, showed he is in amazing shape while having some great measurements.  He will likely struggle as a playmaker and defender initially and I’m not sure what kind of playmaker he can be, but Portland will be a good fit for him offensively due to his ability to play off players like Damian Lillard and Anfernee Simons while also offer another shot creator.  Considering the odds of them finding a great, NBA-ready defender in the draft is not particularly high, I think that Portland should instead focus on finding an awesome offensive player at this time instead.

 

8:  New Orleans Pelicans – Dyson Daniels

G-League Ignite, SG/SF, 19, 6’8, 200 lbs.

Comparison:  A more athletic and aggressive scoring version of Kyle Anderson

Previously Projected:  12

One to Watch

Every year there are a couple players who I misjudge their athletic ability; while the biggest one I misjudged will come a little later, I said Daniels was not a great athlete only for him to be one of the biggest winners at the draft.  He had some of the best results at the combine, looks like he is in absolutely incredible shape, and has a bigger wingspan than people realized (6’10.5”), causing teams to be a bit enamored by him.  Additionally, he is an awesome playmaker, has such a high IQ, a talented defender, and seems to be brilliant about where to position himself.  Now that I have been proven wrong about his athleticism, I think his biggest weakness is his jumper, though it is possible this improves because he’s a decent free throw shooter.  While I could see any team prior picking him as early as Detroit, I think New Orleans will be looking for a guard who can play both on and off the ball, since Devonte’ Graham seems to be a better fit off the bench.  Daniels might be able to run the offense in glimpses immediately and will be good enough at cutting to compensate for his shooting off the ball.

 

9:  San Antonio Spurs – AJ Griffin

Duke, SF, Freshman, 18, 6’6, 222 lbs.

Comparison:  Luke Kennard with Jimmy Butler shot selection inside the arc

Previously Projected:  8

One to Watch

In many years, there is one player who could go high in the draft but then slip at least a bit due to injury concerns.  Some recent examples include OG Anunoby (23) in 2017, Michael Porter Jr. (14) and Robert Williams III (27) in 2018, Bol Bol (44) in 2019, and Jared Butler (40) in 2021, which makes me wonder what will happen with Griffin.  Griffin missed nearly 2 full years of high school due to knee and ankle injuries but is still talented enough to warrant a high pick; that said, he could slip into the late first round if there are enough fears about his injury history.  He is an elite shooter from everywhere on the court, which is something that shouldn’t be something injuries would take away (just look at Kennard).  He is competitive, good at drawing fouls, clever with mismatches, and a decent playmaker, though he lacks experience other players his age have due to missing 2 years; the lack of experience will likely make him struggle defensively and with understanding several aspects of the game at first, but I think he'll be able to develop.  I think he would fit alongside many players on the Spurs due to his ability to play off the ball and shooting, which will make him a natural fit alongside Dejounte Murray, Keldon Johnson, and Devin Vassell.  While the Spurs could also go with a center here, Griffin has star potential, something the Spurs shouldn’t pass on.  I’m really high on Griffin; even with injury concerns I think teams should start eyeing him shortly after the top 3.

 

10:  Washington Wizards – Johnny Davis

Wisconsin, SG, Sophomore, 20, 6’5, 196 lbs.

Comparison:  Less athletic early Shaun Livingston

Previously Projected:  8

I will confess that I’m not the biggest fan of Davis since I find him an inefficient scorer and not a good playmaker, but there are reasons to justify him in the top-10.  He’s an excellent ball handler who rarely turns the ball over, is solid inside the arc, and was in amazing shape at the Combine with a solid wingspan.  That said, he was inefficient from the field and from 3 last year, which I think was part due to his shot selection out of necessity considering Wisconsin’s team last year, hasn’t been a good defender, and got very few assists last year (though that also might be more due to the team more than him).  I think it’s safe to figure his shooting might be better eventually since he shot well from the line on a lot of attempts (which is often a better indicator of success from 3).  The Wizards have been cycling through point guards a bit more than I would imagine they’d like lately and while I don’t think he will be the lead guard immediately, it will give them another ball handler and I can see him being more efficient with Bradley Beal as a teammate.

 

11:  New York Knicks – Jalen Duren

Memphis, C, Freshman, 18, 6’11, 250 lbs.

Comparison:  DeAndre Jordan who thinks he’s more like Robert Williams in terms of passing ability

Previously Projected:  9

I could see the Knicks trading up in this draft to try to get one of the point guards (don’t be surprised if they push for Sacramento’s pick), but if they keep this pick Duren is an awesome pick.  He is a freak athlete who is an awesome shot blocker, finisher, and rebounder with some glimpses of passing ability, but his game is pretty limited and is incredibly raw.  Like many young big men, he often chases blocks rather than making the right decision, turns the ball over a lot, and doesn’t seem to be a good shooter.  As for the Knicks, it wouldn’t surprise me if Mitchell Robinson is not a high priority for them and they let him walk this offseason, so Duren would be a nice young guy to build around.  Duren would likely come off the bench behind Nerlens Noel to start his career, which could allow him to develop into a quality defender and finisher while learning from an amazing defender who took a bit of time to develop himself.  Add the fact that Duren is the youngest player in the draft and the upside is just too enticing.

 

12:  Oklahoma City Thunder – Jeremy Sochan

Baylor, SF/PF, Freshman, 19, 6’9, 230 lbs.

Comparison:  Raw Ben Simmons

Previously Projected:  11

It wouldn’t surprise me if Oklahoma City does something with their picks since they have 3, but Sochan would be an intriguing prospect.  He is an excellent defender already who has some potential to be a strong finisher and playmaker.  I don’t expect he will be a good shooter and might be a tiny bit raw to start his career, but he should be able to have an impact on the defensive end pretty soon into his career.  His percentages for his college career remind me a bit of how Simmons played in college, though Simmons was more NBA ready and was more of an offensive focus in college than Sochan was as a freshman.  I think he could find success if he is treated as a cutter and screener early on while on offense without the ball, something that I think Simmons would have benefited from early on.  I think he will fit in nicely with Oklahoma City because they have enough forwards to have the time to develop him while still being able to give him time.  I think he would provide defense immediately for them, something that would help them, and could give them an additional playmaker down the road.

 

13:  Charlotte Hornets – Mark Williams

Duke, C, Sophomore, 20, 7’0, 243 lbs.

Comparison:  Robert Williams

Previously Projected:  15

If the Hornets keep both of their picks (it wouldn’t surprise me if they try to use these two picks to target someone higher up), one of these picks will likely be used to draft Williams if he is still available.  Williams is already an excellent shot blocker, finisher, and paint defender due to his positioning; he also has potential as a shooter and passer, though he’s still a bit raw with both of those at this time.  There is a possibility he rises a bit due to him having amazing size measurements at the combine and looking like he was in incredible shape.  He is not a good defender when switching, especially when he is outside the paint, and I’m not sure he has the same potential other players around this range have, but I expect he will have an impact for a team.  Charlotte is desperately looking for a big for the future and a rim-running, lob-catching, defensive-minded big would fit perfectly with LaMelo Ball and would help the struggling defense while keeping them honest at the rim.

 

14:  Cleveland Cavaliers – Ochai Agbaji

Kansas, SG, Senior, 22, 6’5, 210 lbs.

Comparison:  Jae Crowder in an Aaron Afflalo body

Previously Projected:  14

It is widely expected that Agbaji will be the first upperclassman to be drafted and should be targeted by several competitive teams looking to add to their depth.  Agbaji is immediately ready to be a 3-and-D guy in the NBA due to his aggressive defense and smart scoring (though he was streaky from deep prior to last season).  He is such a smart player, showed at the Combine that he is an awesome athlete, and will likely be able to play on-ball some, something he did in college.  I don’t expect him to be much of a playmaker or a guy with insane upside considering his age, but he is just the player needed for a competitive team looking for some wing depth.  Cleveland dealt with several injuries this year and had some depth issues with their wings at points.  Agbaji showed in the tournament that he is very good off the ball and can defend at a high level, allowing Cleveland to plug a massive hole that they have at the wing.

 

15:  Charlotte Hornets – Malaki Branham

Ohio State, SG, Freshman, 19, 6’5, 180 lbs.

Comparison:  More efficient Caris LeVert

Previously Projected:  17

Branham might be an odd selection for Charlotte because he is not a good playmaker, which is something they could use alongside LaMelo Ball, but if there isn’t one available at that point, they might as well go with another contributor.  Branham has a good amount of athleticism (though his Combine measures were worse than I expected) who looks like he is a good shooter and defender, but he isn’t a particularly good playmaker or in terms of shot selection.  The good news for him is that he was a bit heavier than expected while still having a low body fat measure, so he might be more ready to contribute than I expected, especially in an off-ball role.

 

16:  Atlanta Hawks – Ousmane Dieng

New Zealand Breakers (New Zealand), SF, 19, 6’10, 200 lbs.

Comparison:  Somewhere between raw Josh Giddy and very early Giannis Antetokounmpo

Previously Projected:  24

One to Watch

Dieng has been rapidly rising due to his size and playmaking potential.  He is already an awesome athlete and ball handler but is incredibly raw and inexperienced on both ends (despite potential at several skills) and is someone I don’t see ever being a good shooter.  If a team that drafts him can be patient with him, the upside is absolutely insane, which is why I expect it is possible for him to crack the top-10 of the Draft.  While Atlanta could theoretically use some NBA-ready size or a secondary ball handler, they could be enticed to take the risk here due to the potential and glimpses of skill already.

 

17:  Houston Rockets – TyTy Washington

Kentucky, PG, Freshman, 19, 6’3, 197 lbs.

Comparison:  Less athletic Tyrese Maxey

Previously Projected:  13

One to Watch

Washington had an inconsistent freshman year and an underwhelming combine to many (he didn’t seem like he was in the best shape), which could make him continue to fall (reminding me a bit of Nasir Little after a tough freshman year in 2019), but he is still a skilled player.  He is already a great point guard, playmaker, decision maker, and seems to be smart at both ends, though his lack of athleticism and streaky jumper could limit his ceiling.  Considering the lack of certainty regarding the future of Kevin Porter Jr. in Houston, the Rockets can afford to use this pick to take a chance on Washington and see if he can develop into a point guard who can enhance the talents of Jalen Green and Paolo Banchero (according to this draft).

 

18:  Chicago Bulls – Tari Eason

LSU, PF, Sophomore, 21, 6’8, 215 lbs.

Comparison:  More reckless Miles Bridges

Previously Projected:  16

Eason is an aggressive player who can help a team shortly into his career.  He is a great defender, has potential as a shooter and finisher, and looked like he was in great shape at the Combine.  He isn’t the best athlete or playmaker, but I think he can overcome these weaknesses.  The biggest thing holding him back initially is that he often plays recklessly.  Despite the fact that Chicago made the playoffs last year, their depth wasn’t great at forward and I expect they could be desperately trying to create a new team this year; Eason will help with the depth and will play with high energy any night.

 

19:  Minnesota Timberwolves – Nikola Jovic

Mega Basket (Serbia), SG/SF, 19, 6’10, 209 lbs.

Comparison:  Franz Wagner or Deni Avdija

Previously Projected:  21

Jovic is an interesting player who could be an all-around good player.  He has shown potential as a shooter, playmaker, and rebounder with a high basketball IQ; he also was a tiny bit taller than I expected at the Combine (though also a bit heavier as well).  He is raw and is inconsistent with his shot, finishing, and defending, but there is a path for him to play a role.  His skills remind me a bit of Avdija, who was raw as a rookie but then developed into a talented defender by year two while still showcasing other skills.  I think Minnesota can use a bigger secondary playmaker and will allow him to grow into his own without requiring him to be a star immediately.

 

20:  San Antonio Spurs – E.J. Liddell

Ohio State, PF, Junior, 21, 6’7, 240 lbs.

Comparison:  Grant Williams

Previously Projected:  19

I think Liddell could fit in with every team in the NBA since he plays hard and is an all around solid player; he can shoot, defend, finish, pass, block shots, and is a smart player on both ends, though he likely won’t be a star.  I could see the Spurs moving at least one draft pick, but if they keep this pick Liddell would give them another versatile player who can play off the ball, is competitive, and has a high IQ, something that sounds like a Spurs player.

 

21:  Denver Nuggets – Jalen Williams

Santa Clara, SG/SF, Junior, 21, 6’6, 190 lbs. (not to be confused with Jaylin Williams from Arkansas)

Comparison:  Dorian Finney-Smith in college Mikal Bridges’ body

Previously Projected:  52

One to Watch

Williams was the biggest winner of the Combine due to one major reason:  he is a freak athlete (for reference, I did not consider him one prior to that, and I was far from alone with that).  Now that I realize how badly I got that wrong, I realize that he can immediately make an impact on the defense end to pair with his shooting and occasional playmaking ability.  The jump from Santa Clara to the NBA might be a bit of a shock at first, but I think if a team is patient they will be rewarded with a talented player.  Denver could absolutely benefit from NBA-ready depth, especially a wing who can guard multiple positions and play off the ball, two nice traits Williams could bring.

 

22:  Memphis Grizzlies – Jaden Hardy

G-League Ignite, SG, 19, 6’4, 190 lbs.

Comparison:  Shorter Ziaire Williams

Previously Projected:  22

It’s possible Memphis trades at least one of their picks, but if they don’t, I could see Hardy working here.  Hardy had a bit of an underwhelming season for the G-League Ignite, but he is a great athlete and showed potential as a playmaker, finisher, rebounder, and even shooter (his free throw shooting was awesome), not to mention how aggressive he is offensively.  That said, he’s incredibly raw and has struggled shooting, finishing, defending, and making decisions.  In my last mock draft, I discussed how I felt similar to Ziaire Williams and how that fit worked with Memphis.  I think Hardy’s aggressiveness will make him a welcome addition to a franchise that has been excellent at developing young athletic talent.

 

23:  Philadelphia 76ers – Blake Wesley

Notre Dame, SG, Freshman, 19, 6’5, 185 lbs.

Comparison:  A player with glimpses of Rajon Rondo but a lot of tendencies of Jamal Crawford

Previously Projected:  20

For the second draft in a row, I had Philadelphia choosing a raw non-shooter, but hear me out here.  Wesley is a good athlete (despite his struggles with some events in the Combine), has great playmaking chops, has an elite handle, and is a good defender for a rookie.  While he can’t shoot, has questionable shot selection, and was smaller than advertised at the Combine (though had an impressive wingspan), I think he has a lot of potential.  Let me put it this way:  the 76ers need more than just shooters to contend and while Wesley is raw, he can provide more ball handling for them down the stretch off the bench as a rookie.

 

24:  Milwaukee Bucks – Walker Kessler

Auburn, C, Sophomore, 20, 7’1, 245 lbs.

Comparison:  Jakob Poeltl

Previously Projected:  26

Kessler is an amazing paint defender, shot blocker, and finisher with some passing chops, but his lack of shooting and athleticism make me question how he will fit in the NBA.  That said, he was one of the tallest players at the combine with a long wingspan, so that’s a good sign for him.  I think Milwaukee is one of the best teams for Kessler because they have found success in operating with a drop-back center in Brook Lopez, something that will allow Kessler to reach his potential (though it would help him and the team to develop a jumper).

 

25:  San Antonio Spurs – Marjon Beauchamp

G-League Ignite, SG/SF, 21, 6’6, 199 lbs.

Comparison:  Matt Barnes

Previously Projected:  23

Beauchamp is a jack of all trades who had a longer wingspan than expected (7’0.75”) at the Combine, which makes him even more enticing for some.  He already has shown that he can defend, finish, play both on and off the ball, and handle the ball at a high level; he also is an awesome athlete and seems to always play with a high motor.  His biggest weakness is his shooting and I’m not sure he will ever be a great shooter; there are also weaknesses as a playmaker, but he can improve.  I like the fit with San Antonio because of the energy and intensity he plays with, which sounds like something coach Gregg Popovich would enjoy and several Spurs players would embrace (especially Dejounte Murray and Keldon Johnson).

 

26:  Dallas Mavericks – Kendall Brown

Baylor, SF/SG, Freshman, 19, 6’8, 205 lbs.

Comparison:  Gerald Green

Previously Projected:  18

One to Watch

I’ll be totally honest here, I’m not quite sure why Brown dropped so much since he had an overall good combine (though he struggled in some areas).  He is a freak athlete who will use this to finish at a high clip; he also has shown glimpses in other aspects, including passing.  He is raw and doesn’t look like he is a good shooter or defender at this point, but there is the possibility he could improve in the latter.  He reminds me of Gerald Green due to being a raw highlight finishing freak athlete, but Green showed he could have value at points with improved shooting and positioning; the positioning is absolutely something Brown could benefit from.  While I think Dallas could trade this pick, Brown could provide a reason for teams to have to watch out inside the paint from the wing, which could help open space more for their shooters.

 

27:  Miami Heat – Kennedy Chandler

Tennessee, PG, Freshman, 19, 6’0, 172 lbs.

Comparison:  Smaller De’Aaron Fox

Previously Projected:  25

Let me just say this about Chandler:  the only thing keeping him out of the lottery is his size.  He is an absolutely incredible athlete, skilled playmaker, and smart offensive player to make up for his size.  That said, he likely won’t be a good defender and I’m not sure how his shooting will be (he had a good 3P% but horrible free throw percent, the latter of which normally being the better indicator).  I think he will fit well with the Heat since he would give them another option as a ball handler off the bench who is also a freak athlete and has a lot of upside.

 

28:  Golden State Warriors – Jake LaRavia

Wake Forest, SF/PF, Junior, 20, 6’9, 228 lbs.

Comparison:  Maxi Kleber as a more willing playmaker

Previously Projected:  39

One to Watch

LaRavia had an interesting combine where he did better than expected in some measures and shot well, though his body measurements were a bit undesirable, as his wingspan wasn’t long.  That said, he is a good shooter and solid defender who will likely be at his best defending forwards due to his size and strength.  He isn’t the best athlete (though he is pretty strong) and likely is someone you’d prefer off the ball, but he should be able to have an impact for a competitive team in a reserve role.  There are several players Golden State could go with here, but LaRavia makes sense as an off-ball option on both ends who isn’t a star but wouldn’t need to be one.

 

29:  Memphis Grizzlies – Dalen Terry

Arizona, SG, Sophomore, 6’7, 195 lbs.

Comparison:  Less confident Derrick White

Previously Projected:  54

One to Watch

Terry was a rapid riser and I’m honestly not quite sure why; he was in great shape at the combine and had an awesome wingspan (7’0.75”), but he didn’t do any of the physical activities.  Still, he is an aggressive player who looks like he will be a great defender on multiple positions eventually (he will likely need to get a little bigger before guarding many forwards) and finisher; he also has shown some potential as a playmaker and didn’t turn the ball over a ton.  While he isn’t the best decision maker at points and can be a bit reckless, I think this will improve; the thing I’m most worried about is that he is a solid shooter but will go through stages where he seems afraid to shoot for some reason.  I think Memphis can benefit from his 2-way athleticism and playmaking while giving him more space to hopefully allow him to be more aggressive and confident in his shot.

 

30:  Oklahoma City Thunder – Patrick Baldwin

Milwaukee, SF/PF, Freshman, 19, 6’9, 220 lbs.

Comparison:  Inconsistent Jabari Parker

Previously Projected:  29

One to Watch

It is tough to consider Baldwin’s Combine to be a success, as he was below average in several measurements and wasn’t in the best physical condition.  On the bright side, he looked better with his jumper than he did in college and grew an inch.  While he didn’t participate in the games (I think he had a lot to lose by playing in them), some have considered Baldwin’s Combine to be totally detrimental to his draft stock while others seem unbothered by it.  While I am a bit concerned about the fact that he gained some weight, he wasn’t the best athlete to begin with, so he was bound to struggle at the Combine.  If he has a nice basketball IQ and performs well in some workouts, expect him to remain in the first round; if he doesn’t, I’m not quite sure how far he can fall.  Oklahoma City has the ability to take a chance on them due to their timetable and the fact that they aren’t overloaded with elite forwards, so they can take some time to develop him and be patient.

 

 

31:  Indiana Pacers – Christian Braun

Kansas, SG, Junior, 21, 6’6, 205 lbs.

Previously Projected:  33

Braun is a player who can do a lot in every aspect while playing hard and is someone I thought could rise in the draft due to his amazing athletic numbers at the Combine as well as solid play in the scrimmages.  I expect he is NBA-ready so don’t be surprised if he gets looks in the late first round as well.

 

32:  Orlando Magic – Wendell Moore

Duke, SF, Junior, 20, 6’5, 216 lbs.

Previously Projected:  27

Moore had an average Combine, which isn’t too surprising since he isn’t the best athlete (though he did have great measures in the leaping activities), but he is a skilled all-around offensive player who can contribute on that end of the floor.  He could get looks in the late first round if teams think his defense won’t keep him off the floor enough.

 

33:  Toronto Raptors – Bryce McGowen

Nebraska, SG, Freshman, 19, 6’7, 190 lbs.

Previously Projected:  28

McGowen had a bit of a disappointing Combine in some areas, as he didn’t stand out in any measurements or tests and had a shorter wingspan than some would like to see but is still a talented athlete with a nice handle and shooting potential.  He is a bit raw and inconsistent in several aspects of the game but has the potential if a team is patient.

 

34:  Oklahoma City Thunder – Trevor Keels

Duke, SG, Freshman, 18, 6’4, 221 lbs.

Previous Projected:  31

One to watch

Keels is a hard-nosed but skilled defender and playmaker, but his showing at the Combine didn’t change questions about his athleticism or body type.  One positive from his combine is that he had a longer wingspan than I expected (6’7.25).  Despite dropping 3 spots, I think he could slide into the first round if a team is looking for a physical combo guard.

 

35:  Orlando Magic – Ryan Rollins

Toledo, PG/SG, Sophomore, 20, 6’4, 180 lbs.

Previously Projected:  47

One to Watch

Rollins had an overall good Combine, especially considering he wasn’t considered an elite athlete entering the Combine but still played well in the scrimmages, had nice measurements (even if he was an inch shorter than his listed height), and did better than expected in several athletic tests.  Overall he is a quality all-around good player who can provide some skill to a variety of situations as a playmaker, defender, and shooter, but might struggle with the jump from Toledo at first.

 

36:  Portland Trail Blazers – Caleb Houston

Michigan, SF/SG, Freshman, 19, 6’8, 205 lbs.

Previously Projected:  NR

One to Watch

Houstan’s draft stock is an interesting case because his stock rose despite not attending the Combine.  He is a good shooter and has shown potential as a passer and ball handler while having nice size.  He isn’t a great athlete and struggles defensively, which coupled with his rough freshman year will limit his draft ceiling.  After not attending the Combine, many figured he had a first-round promise from a team, but I wonder if he actually didn’t attend to mute the weight of his limited athleticism.

 

37:  Sacramento Kings – Max Christie

Michigan State, SG, Freshman, 19, 6’6, 190 lbs.

Previously Projected:  35

Christie had a great Combine where he showcased the athleticism that makes him a potential first-round selection, though there are still concerns about his rough freshman year, how raw he his, his decision making, and the fact that he was a little smaller than expected.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see him drafted in the 30’s or late first-round by a team who has multiple picks and is looking for an upside pick, but he could slip considering how much work will need to be done for him to succeed.

 

38:  San Antonio Spurs – Christian Koloko

Arizona, C, Junior, 22, 7’1, 225 lbs.

Previously Projected:  32

Koloko has upside in a lot of ways, especially around the rim on both ends, but his Combine was disappointing in many ways, as he was average in a lot of the athletic values and showed his shooting is still a work in progress.  I could see him rising a tad if teams are impressed with his upside in workouts, but he is already older so it wouldn’t surprise me if he doesn’t get drafted in the first round.

 

39:  Cleveland Cavaliers – Jean Montero

Overtime Elite, PG, 18, 6’3, 175 lbs.

Previously Projected:  30

One to Watch

Montero had a polarizing combine, with some thinking he cemented a 1^st round lock and others wondering if he’ll be drafted.  I found the performance disappointing, as he had several measurements that were disappointing, some average skills results, is smaller than advertised (6’2.25” in shoes), and spent 7 minutes in a scrimmage largely only looking for his own shot prior to getting injured (though he was solid in some of the shooting results).  His draft position will depend on workouts, but don’t be surprised if a rebuilding team with a late first round or early second round pick wants him prior to here, especially considering his aggressiveness as a scorer while having a solid jumper.

 

40:  Minnesota Timberwolves – Ismael Kamagate

Paris Basketball (France), C, 21, 6’11, 220 lbs.

Previously Projected:  34

One to Watch

Kamagate didn’t participate in any of the events or measurements at the Combine, something that I believe could have helped out his draft stock a bit to showcase what shape he was in.  I could see him going early in the second round due to teams looking for a draft-and-stage player who has skill, which he does at both ends inside the paint.  There’s a slim chance he goes in the first round if a team with multiple picks doesn’t want to trade any.

 

41:  New Orleans Pelicans – Leonard Miller

Fort Erie International Academy (Canada), SF, High School Senior, 18, 6’10, Unlisted weight

Previously Projected:  46

One to Watch

Entering the Combine, Miller was one of the biggest mysteries in the draft, and I don’t believe he answered any questions I had.  While he was in awesome shape and had nice measurements, his performance in the scrimmages was atrocious and many of his athletic measures made me wonder if I misjudged how good of an athlete he is.  He can still withdraw from the draft and attend college or play for the G-League Ignite (he is considered an international player, so the deadline is June 13), but he is a young player with potential if anyone wants a project.

 

42:  New York Knicks – Jaylin Williams

Arkansas, PF/C, Sophomore, 20, 6’10, 245 lbs. (not to be confused with Jalen Williams from Santa Clara)

One to Watch

Williams had an atrocious Combine which made me question is athletic ability after declaring him a good athlete prior, but he still rose because he’s the type of player a lot of teams like in the second round:  a good teammate who is willing to do the dirty work.  While there is often a wide range of opinions regarding where second round picks should be drafted, he reminds me a bit of Payton Pritchard where he could be drafted as high as the late first round.

 

43:  Los Angeles Clippers – Peyton Watson

UCLA, SF, Freshman, 19, 6’8, 200 lbs.

Previously Projected:  51

I’m not sure how Watson rose as much as he did considering his Combine left something to be desired in the athletic tests (though his measurements were nice), but it does sound like there are some believers in his potential.  He also had an atrocious freshman year at UCLA and seems to be raw in just about all aspects of the game, but he considered one of the top recruits entering the season so the college season might have been a bit of a fluke.

 

44:  Atlanta Hawks – Josh Minott

Memphis, SG/SF, Freshman, 19, 6’8, 205 lbs.

One to Watch

Minott didn’t due any of the tests or measurements at the Combine, which is something that might have been able to help him due to his athletic ability.  He played in a scrimmage and struggled offensively, which is likely why his stock dropped a bit.  If he has the ability to showcase his defensive ability (which he did well with in the scrimmage), he could wind up going a little higher in the draft, though there is still a lot of work needed for him to reach his potential.

 

45:  Charlotte Hornets – Andrew Nembhard

Gonzaga, PG/SG, Senior, 22, 6’5, 193 lbs.

Previously Projected:  55

One to Watch

Nembhard was another prospect who helped himself at the Combine, as he had an incredibly scrimmage and his athletic measurements were much better than expected, easily outweighing his smaller wingspan.  I still have questions about his jumper, but he is a smart and skilled player at both ends who could provide some minutes to a competitive team.  It is possible he ends up being selected near the end of the first round.

 

46:  Detroit Pistons – Justin Lewis

Marquette, SF/PF, Sophomore, 20, 6’7, 235 lbs.

Previously Projected:  37

Lewis had a bit of an erratic combine, so it’s no surprise to see him drop a bit.  He is raw and has a lot of work to do before he will be an NBA-ready player, but he is looking like he could be a decent off-ball player and a 3-and-D option eventually.  I don’t expect him to end up in the first round, but I don’t see him falling too much more unless he really struggles in workouts (which is possible).

 

47:  Memphis Grizzlies – JD Davison

Alabama, PG, Freshman, 19, 6’3, 195 lbs.

Previously Projected:  36

One to Watch

Davison had a horrible Combine and struggled to the point where I’m wondering if he even is that athletic (I previously thought he was an incredible athlete).  There definitely is playmaking chops that he has and can provide, but if the Combine is more indicative of what his athleticism is, he will struggle as a finisher and defender, which will really limit his NBA potential since he isn’t a good shooter.

 

48:  Minnesota Timberwolves – Hugo Besson

New Zealand Breakers (New Zealand), PG/SG, 21, 6’4, 196 lbs.

Previously Projected:  42

Besson dropped a bit due to a total dud of a Combine; while he did well in the shooting drills, he couldn’t hit a shot in the scrimmage and was underwhelming in just about every measure and athletic test.  That said, he is still a great playmaker and is an interesting option to select as a draft-and-stash type player in the second round.  He is a bit streaky as a shooter and scorer, so his game short-term would likely rely on passing more.

 

49:  Sacramento Kings – David Roddy

Colorado State, SF, Junior, 21, 6’5, 252 lbs.

Previously Projected:  40

Roddy didn’t have a particularly good Combine (though some results were better than I expected) which I expect caused his stock to drop, but he can still be a solid playmaker and smart player at both ends.  He has weaknesses regarding his shooting and athleticism, and I imagine some teams are a bit nervous about the fact that he gained some weight.

 

50:  Minnesota Timberwolves – Dominic Barlow

Overtime Elite, PF/C, 19, 6’9, 214 lbs.

Previously Projected:  NR

Barlow was another winner at the Combine, as he shot well in the drills and played well in the scrimmages, though he did struggle in several of the athletic tests.  He looks like he could be a good shooter as a big and a decent finisher, though I think he will be weaker defensively and as a playmaker.  He is definitely raw, but bigs who can shoot tend to find a role in the NBA.

 

51:  Golden State Warriors – Alondes Williams

Wake Forest, SG/PG, Redshirt Senior, 23, 6’5, 201 lbs.

Previously Projected:  43

Williams did better than I expected in the athletic and shooting tests, but was horrible shooting in the scrimmages, so he slipped.  That said, he showcased what his playmaking skills are like and is an aggressive defender, though he isn’t the best athlete which will limit his upside finishing and defending.  It’s possible that he winds up not being drafted, but a team might be willing to take him on if he agrees to play a year in G-League or as a 2-Way player.

 

52:  New Orleans Pelicans – Khalifa Diop

Herbalife Gran Canaria (Spain), C, 20, 6’11, 231 lbs.

Previously Projected:  56

Diop is a raw player and doesn’t project to be much of a shooter, but he looks like he has a lot of skill inside the paint.  He has a long way to go and he won’t make the NBA anytime soon, but I think there is enough potential as a draft-and-stash type player to consider.

 

53:  Boston Celtics – Trevion Williams

Purdue, PF/C, Senior, 21, 6’10, 265 lbs.

Previously Projected:  57

Williams came very close to having possibly the worst combine out of everyone, as he was shorter than expected, looked bad in all tests, and couldn’t hit a shot in the scrimmages.  The thing that saved him:  he was an amazing playmaker in the scrimmages, something that was not expected from him.  He is a solid player in the paint overall, but isn’t the best athlete or shooter, so he will be somewhat limited.

 

54:  Washington Wizards – Gabriele Procido

Fortituto Kontatto Bologna (Italy), SG, 20, 6’6, 191 lbs.

Previously Projected:  NR

Procido helped himself by participating in the Combine as he was in great shape and looked like a better athlete than I thought he was.  He projects to be a really good shooter but is still raw at just about every other aspect of the game.  If he utilizes his athleticism a bit more as he gets older, he could be a solid 3-and-D player in the future.

 

55:  Golden State Warriors – Yannick Nzosa

Unicaja (Spain), Center, 18, 7’0, 174 lbs.

Previously Projected:  50

Unicaia unfortunately prevented Nzosa from attending the Combine, which would have been a nice way to measure just how he is at this point considering how raw and inexperienced.  He is an amazing athlete who is still young, which makes him interesting to think about potential.  If nothing else, he’s worth considering as a draft-and-stash player.

 

56:  Cleveland Cavaliers – Dereon Seabron

North Carolina State, SG, Redshirt Sophomore, 22, 6’7, 180 lbs.

Previously Projected:  NR

Seabron showcased his athletic ability at the Combine and also played incredibly well in the scrimmages.  He is an aggressive player who has been willing to pass while being an aggressive scorer, but he isn’t the best decision maker and is a bit reckless; he also measured a little smaller than advertised and is skinny, which could be a concern for some.

 

57:  Portland Trail Blazers – Michael Foster

G-League Ignite, PF, 19, 6’8, 250 lbs.

Previously Projected:  58

Foster looked pretty good in the shooting tests, underwhelming in the athletic tests, horrible in the first scrimmage, and solid in the second scrimmage.  He might be a better shooter than I thought and looked like the good shot blocker as advertised but is still raw and has a long way to grow.

 

58:  Indiana Pacers – Jabari Walker

Colorado, SF/PF, Sophomore, 19, 6’8, 200 lbs.

Previously Projected:  53

Walker gained a surprising amount of weight and looked a bit out of shape, but he still did fine in the tests and played well in the scrimmages.  He does have a nice jumper, but his lack of athleticism and skill on the ball might make teams think twice before drafting him.

 

 

Previously drafted players who are not drafted in this mock

41:  Terquavion Smith, North Carolina State, SG, Freshman

Smith withdrew from the NBA Draft and is returning to college.

44:  Keon Ellis, Alabama, SG, Senior

Despite a good Combine in several athletic tests, Ellis struggled in the scrimmages and was smaller than advertised, which likely resulted in the drop in his stock.

45:  Julian Champagnie, St. John’s, SG/SF, Junior

Champagnie was expected to drop due to not being an elite athlete, but after shooting well in some drills and the first game he couldn’t hit anything in the second scrimmage.

49:  Harrison Ingram, Stanford, SF, Freshman

Ingram withdrew from the NBA Draft and is returning to college.

 

Biggest Risers (by % Change, minimum 5 spots changed)

1.       Jalen Williams (52 to 21, 31 spots, 59.62%)

2.       Dalen Terry (54 to 29, 25 spots, 46.3%)

3.       Ousmane Dieng (24 to 16, 8 spots, 33.33%)

4.       Jake LaRavia (39 to 28, 11 spots, 28.21%)

5.       Ryan Rollins (47 to 35, 12 spots, 25.53%)

 

Biggest Fallers (by % Change, minimum 5 spots changed)

1.       Kendall Brown (18 to 27, 9 spots, -50%)

2.       JD Davison (36 to 47, 11 spots, -30.56%)

3.       Jean Montero (30 to 39, 9 spots, -30%)

4.       Justin Lewis (37 to 46, 9 spots, -24.32%)

5.       David Roddy (40 to 49, 9 spots, -22.5%)

 

 

Honorable Mention (the next 10):

·         Orlando Robinson, C, Fresno State, Jr

·         Keon Ellis, SG, Alabama, Sr

·         John Butler, PF, Florida State, Fr

·         Julian Champagnie, SF, St. John’s, Jr

·         Ron Harper Jr., SF/PF, Rutgers, Sr

·         Moussa Diabate, PF, Michigan, Fr

·         Iverson Molinar, SG/PG, Mississippi State, Jr

·         Johnny Juzang, SF, UCLA, Jr

·         Aminu Mohammad, SG, Georgetown, Fr

·         Jamaree Bouyee, PG, San Francisco, Sr

 

Who excites you in the draft so far?  Any picks you disagree with?  Let me know in the comments!