2022 NBA Mock Draft 3

This is my final mock draft for the NBA Draft of 2022.  The picks are determined as an aggregate of several mock drafts with fit taken into consideration; they are not who I would draft in each particular situation.  While I previously focused on the fit of the player with the team, I am focusing more on player/pick movement in this post.  Unlike the previous mocks, there is no commentary on second round picks.  As a bonus, I also included my favorite players in this draft.

 

1:  Orlando Magic – Jabari Smith

Auburn, PF, Freshman, 19, 6’10, 210 lbs.

Comparison:  Maybe Rashard Lewis with better defense and some Jaren Jackson and Klay Thompson?

Previously Projected:  1

Orlando will more than likely draft Smith due to his size, defense, shooting, and floor, though there is a chance they could draft Chet Holmgren.

 

2:  Oklahoma City Thunder – Chet Holmgren

Gonzaga, C/PF, Freshman, 20, 7’0, 195 lbs.

Comparison:  Skinnier Evan Mobley with a jumper or skinnier Pau Gasol with a higher defensive IQ

Previously Projected:  2

I expect OKC will draft whoever is remaining between Holmgren and Smith but would prefer Smith due to their lack of a size in their long-term plan and Holmgren’s shot-blocking ability.

 

3:  Houston Rockets – Paolo Banchero

Duke, PF, Freshman, 19, 6’10, 250 lbs.

Comparison:  Something between Jayson Tatum and Chris Webber (I think closer to early Tatum in style)

Previously Projected:  3

While it is possible that Houston selected Jaden Ivey here, I think it would be a surprise if they don’t take Banchero due to his scoring ability and offensive upside, especially after they traded Christian Wood.

 

4:  Sacramento Kings – Jaden Ivey

Purdue, SG, Sophomore, 20, 6’4, 200 lbs.

Comparison:  Derrick Rose

Previously Projected:  4

This is where the draft gets interesting.  In most situations, Ivey would be easily the most likely pick, but Sacramento just traded Tyrese Haliburton in part because they already have De’Aaron Fox and Davion Mitchell and it’s sounding like Ivey doesn’t really want to go there (though neither stopped Sacramento from drafting Mitchell last year).  They are also reportedly listening to trade offers on this pick, in which case I expect Ivey would be traded; some teams that might be interested include New York, Washington, and Oklahoma City.  If Sacramento keeps the pick and doesn’t make any trades, expect them to also eye Keegan Murray, Bennedict Mathurin, Dyson Daniels, and Shaedon Sharpe.

 

5:  Detroit Pistons – Keegan Murray

Iowa, SF/PF, Sophomore, 21, 6’8, 215 lbs.

Comparison:  Aaron Gordon with a jumper

Previously Projected:  5

While there is an outside chance Detroit trades this pick, Murray seems like the most likely selection, especially after Detroit just traded the similar Jerami Grant.  They could also consider Bennedict Mathurin, Dyson Daniels, Shaedon Sharpe, and AJ Griffin

 

6:  Indiana Pacers – Dyson Daniels

G-League Ignite, SG/SF, 19, 6’8, 200 lbs.

Comparison:  A more athletic and aggressive scoring version of Kyle Anderson

Previously Projected:  8

This pick is far from a lock as I could also see them considering Bennidict Mathurin, AJ Griffin, Shaedon Sharpe, Johnny Davis, Jalen Duren, or Jeremy Sochan with this pick.  While Daniels is enticing due to his floor and basketball IQ, I think their dream would be if Murray falls to them.

 

7:  Portland Trail Blazers – Bennedict Mathurin

Arizona, SG, Sophomore, 20, 6’7, 195 lbs.

Comparison:  More athletic and consistent Jordan Clarkson

Previously Projected:  7

I could see Portland loving Mathurin due to his upside as a scorer and his athletic potential, but I also think there is a serious possibility that they opt for Shaedon Sharpe.  I also could see them considering AJ Griffin, Jalen Duren, and Jeremy Sochan.

 

8:  New Orleans Pelicans – Shaedon Sharpe

Kentucky, SG/SF, Redshirt, 19, 6’6, 175 lbs.

Comparison:  Jaylen Brown as a more willing playmaker

Previously Projected:  6

Sharpe could wind up slipping until the late lottery if teams aren’t sure about him, but he could also go here since New Orleans doesn’t have as many needs as other lottery teams.  I expect New Orleans will also consider several others, including AJ Griffin, Johnny Davis, Jeremy Sochan, Ousmane Dieng, and Malaki Branham.

 

9:  San Antonio Spurs – Jalen Duren

Memphis, C, Freshman, 18, 6’11, 250 lbs.

Comparison:  DeAndre Jordan who thinks he’s more like Robert Williams in terms of passing ability

Previously Projected:  11

While Duren fits their long-term plan position-wise, I think San Antonio will opt for whomever they view as the best player remaining here.  In which case, I think they will consider Jeremy Sochan, AJ Griffin, Ousmane Dieng, and Johnny Davis, among others.

 

10:  Washington Wizards – Johnny Davis

Wisconsin, SG, Sophomore, 20, 6’5, 196 lbs.

Comparison:  Less athletic early Shaun Livingston

Previously Projected:  10

I think Washington will try to trade this pick unless they know that Bradley Beal will resign and they don’t like the return on this pick.  Washington is targeting a guard and while I think they will also see what they can do in free agency, Davis is the best bet for that in this range.  That said, this is far from a lock.

 

11:  New York Knicks – AJ Griffin

Duke, SF, Freshman, 18, 6’6, 222 lbs.

Comparison:  Luke Kennard with Jimmy Butler shot selection inside the arc

Previously Projected:  9

Unless they get a committal from a superstar or have a trade to get one, I expect New York will not trade this pick, but it is possible.  While Griffin has only fallen slightly since the last mock draft, I could see him falling more due to recent history with potential lottery picks.  Still, his shooting makes it realistic enough to select him here.

 

12:  Oklahoma City Thunder – Jeremy Sochan

Baylor, SF/PF, Freshman, 19, 6’9, 230 lbs.

Comparison:  Raw Ben Simmons

Previously Projected:  12

While it is possible this pick gets traded, I don’t think OKC does after they traded the 30th pick.  It will be interesting to see who they select since the team could go with a player who is more NBA ready if they think they will be competitive.  If they don’t pick Sochan, don’t be surprised if they select Ousmane Dieng.

 

13:  Charlotte Hornets – Ousmane Dieng

New Zealand Breakers (New Zealand), SF, 19, 6’10, 200 lbs.

Comparison:  Somewhere between raw Josh Giddy and very early Giannis Antetokounmpo

Previously Projected:  16

I expect Charlotte will try to trade one of their picks (they also have pick 15), so those selections depend on which they retain.  If they keep both, I expect a center will be selected 15th and this pick will be used to pick either whomever they think is best or an NBA ready player.

 

14:  Cleveland Cavaliers – Malaki Branham

Ohio State, SG, Freshman, 19, 6’5, 180 lbs.

Comparison:  More efficient Caris LeVert

Previously Projected:  15

Cleveland could opt to go for a more NBA-ready player (such as Ochai Agbaji or Jalen Williams), but Branham is rising a bit on the draft boards and makes sense to help them with wing depth.

 

15:  Charlotte Hornets – Mark Williams

Duke, C, Sophomore, 20, 7’0, 243 lbs.

Comparison:  Robert Williams

Previously Projected:  13

The only way this pick isn’t used to select a big man is if this pick gets traded (highly possible), both Williams and Jalen Duren are drafted (unlikely), or if they opt to draft one at 13 instead (highly unlikely).

 

16:  Atlanta Hawks – Ochai Agbaji

Kansas, SG, Senior, 22, 6’5, 210 lbs.

Comparison:  Jae Crowder in an Aaron Afflalo body

Previously Projected:  14

Atlanta is a team to watch to make a move since they are actively trying to trade John Collins, so I wonder if they also trade this pick to sweeten the pot.  If they don’t, there’s several directions they can go with this pick.

 

17:  Houston Rockets – Tari Eason

LSU, PF, Sophomore, 21, 6’8, 215 lbs.

Comparison:  More reckless Miles Bridges

Previously Projected:  18

Now that the Rockets have 3 1st round picks, I expect they will listen to trades regarding this one.

 

18:  Chicago Bulls – Jalen Williams

Santa Clara, SG/SF, Junior, 21, 6’6, 190 lbs. (not to be confused with Jaylin Williams from Arkansas)

Comparison:  Dorian Finney-Smith in college Mikal Bridges’ body

Previously Projected:  21

There is an outside chance that this pick gets traded, especially while looking for a Nikola Vucevic trade, but I think Chicago makes the selection here.  I could also see them drafting E.J. Lidell here and I could also see Williams even sneaking into the lottery.

 

19:  Minnesota Timberwolves – E.J. Lidell

Ohio State, PF, Junior, 21, 6’7, 240 lbs.

Comparison:  Grant Williams

Previously Projected:  19

While Lidell does fit here, there are also reports that Minnesota is looking for a rim protector in the draft.  I think the most realistic player at this pick that fits the bill is Walker Kessler, so keep an eye out for him here.

 

20:  San Antonio Spurs – TyTy Washington

Kentucky, PG, Freshman, 19, 6’3, 197 lbs.

Comparison:  Less athletic Tyrese Maxey

Previously Projected:  17

San Antonio has 3 first round picks, so don’t be surprised if they shop this one.  Washington has been falling a bit, but I’m not sure how much further he would fall than the early-mid 20’s.

 

21:  Denver Nuggets – Nikola Jovic

Mega Basket (Serbia), SG/SF, 19, 6’10, 209 lbs.

Comparison:  Franz Wagner or Deni Avdija

Previously Projected:  19

I swear I did not intend for this to happen, but a Nikola Jovic/Nikola Jokic pairing would be hysterical.  That said, Denver just acquired the 30th pick and could move one or both.

 

22:  Memphis Grizzlies – Blake Wesley

Notre Dame, SG, Freshman, 19, 6’5, 185 lbs.

Comparison:  A player with glimpses of Rajon Rondo but a lot of tendencies of Jamal Crawford

Previously Projected:  23

Memphis has picks 22 and 29, so I could see at least one being moved.

 

23:  Philadelphia 76ers – Dalen Terry

Arizona, SG, Sophomore, 6’7, 195 lbs.

Comparison:  Less confident but bigger Derrick White

Previously Projected:  29

Philadelphia is shopping several deals, so don’t be surprised if this pick ends up involved in a trade.  I could also see Terry rising a bit more since multiple teams seem excited about him.

 

24:  Milwaukee Bucks – Jaden Hardy

G-League Ignite, SG, 19, 6’4, 190 lbs.

Comparison:  Shorter Ziaire Williams

Previously Projected:  22

While I expect Milwaukee will make this pick, I’m not sure what direction they will go with on this pick.  It wouldn’t surprise me if they opt for Walker Kessler if he’s still available here though.

 

25:  San Antonio Spurs – MarJon Beauchamp

G-League Ignite, SG/SF, 21, 6’6, 199 lbs.

Comparison:  Matt Barnes

Previously Projected:  25

I expect San Antonio will either trade this pick, trade the 20th pick, or draft an international player with this pick.  There is some speculation that Beauchamp could fall to the second round; while I’m not sure how true all of it is, keep your eyes on him.

 

26:  Houston Rockets – Kennedy Chandler

Tennessee, PG, Freshman, 19, 6’0, 172 lbs.

Comparison:  Smaller De’Aaron Fox

Previously Projected:  27

I expect either this pick or the 17th pick to be traded.  There is a slight chance that Chandler could slip into the second round, but I think a team with a late first will select him.

 

27:  Miami Heat – Walker Kessler

Auburn, C, Sophomore, 20, 7’1, 245 lbs.

Comparison:  Jakob Poeltl

Previously Projected:  26

Miami is a team to watch in the offseason as a whole and that will start with what decisions they make on draft night.  If they keep this pick, I don’t think they select Kessler, but it was tougher to have him falling further in the aggregate draft.

 

28:  Golden State Warriors – Jake LaRavia

Wake Forest, SF/PF, Junior, 20, 6’9, 228 lbs.

Comparison:  Maxi Kleber as a more willing playmaker

Previously Projected:  39

While they could draft a raw player, the names I’ve most heard linked to Golden State are LaRavia, Christian Bruan, Wendell Moore, and Andrew Nembhard.

 

29:  Memphis Grizzlies – Wendell Moore

Duke, SF, Junior, 20, 6’5, 216 lbs.

Comparison:  Josh Hart

Previously Projected:  32

I expect this pick will be traded since Memphis also has pick 22.  Either way, I think Moore’s range will be between the late 1st round and early 2nd round.

 

30:  Denver Nuggets – Kendall Brown

Baylor, SF/SG, Freshman, 19, 6’8, 205 lbs.

Comparison:  Gerald Green

Previously Projected:  26

I’m not sure if Denver will trade one pick or select at both 21 and 30.  Brown is dropping pretty rapidly and could slip into the 2nd round.

 

 

31:  Indiana Pacers – Christian Braun

Kansas, SG, Junior, 21, 6’6, 205 lbs.

Previously Projected:  31

 

32:  Orlando Magic – Patrick Baldwin

Milwaukee, SF/PF, Freshman, 19, 6’9, 220 lbs.

Previously Projected:  30

 

33:  Toronto Raptors – Bryce McGowen

Nebraska, SG, Freshman, 19, 6’7, 190 lbs.

Previously Projected:  33

 

34:  Oklahoma City Thunder – Trevor Keels

Duke, SG, Freshman, 18, 6’4, 221 lbs.

Previous Projected:  34

 

35:  Orlando Magic – Andrew Nembhard

Gonzaga, PG/SG, Senior, 22, 6’5, 193 lbs.

Previously Projected:  45

 

36:  Detroit Pistons – Ismael Kamagate

Paris Basketball (France), C, 21, 6’11, 220 lbs.

Previously Projected:  40

 

37:  Sacramento Kings – Christian Koloko

Arizona, C, Junior, 22, 7’1, 225 lbs.

Previously Projected:  38

 

38:  San Antonio Spurs – Caleb Houston

Michigan, SF/SG, Freshman, 19, 6’8, 205 lbs.

Previously Projected:  36

 

39:  Cleveland Cavaliers – Jaylin Williams

Arkansas, PF/C, Sophomore, 20, 6’10, 245 lbs. (not to be confused with Jalen Williams from Santa Clara)

Previously Projected:  42

 

40:  Minnesota Timberwolves – Max Christie

Michigan State, SG, Freshman, 19, 6’6, 190 lbs.

Previously Projected:  37

 

41:  New Orleans Pelicans – Peyton Watson

UCLA, SF, Freshman, 19, 6’8, 200 lbs.

Previously Projected:  43

 

42:  New York Knicks – Ryan Rollins

Toledo, PG/SG, Sophomore, 20, 6’4, 180 lbs.

Previously Projected:  35

 

43:  Los Angeles Clippers – David Roddy

Colorado State, SF, Junior, 21, 6’5, 252 lbs.

Previously Projected:  40

 

44:  Atlanta Hawks – Justin Lewis

Marquette, SF/PF, Sophomore, 20, 6’7, 235 lbs.

Previously Projected:  46

 

45:  Charlotte Hornets – Josh Minott

Memphis, SG/SF, Freshman, 19, 6’8, 205 lbs.

Previously Projected:  44

 

46:  Portland Trail Blazers – Jean Montero

Overtime Elite, PG, 18, 6’3, 175 lbs.

Previously Projected:  39

 

47:  Memphis Grizzlies – JD Davison

Alabama, PG, Freshman, 19, 6’3, 195 lbs.

Previously Projected:  47

 

48:  Minnesota Timberwolves – Gabriele Procida

Fortituto Kontatto Bologna (Italy), SG, 20, 6’6, 191 lbs.

Previously Projected:  54

 

49:  Sacramento Kings – Khalifa Diop

Herbalife Gran Canaria (Spain), C, 20, 6’11, 231 lbs.

Previously Projected:  52

 

50:  Minnesota Timberwolves – Hugo Besson

New Zealand Breakers (New Zealand), PG/SG, 21, 6’4, 196 lbs.

Previously Projected:  48

 

51:  Golden State Warriors – Michael Foster

G-League Ignite, PF, 19, 6’8, 250 lbs.

Previously Projected:  58

 

52:  New Orleans Pelicans – Dominick Barlow

Overtime Elite, PF/C, 19, 6’9, 214 lbs.

Previously Projected:  50

 

53:  Boston Celtics – John Butler

Florida State, PF, Freshman, 19, 7’1, 190 lbs.

Previously Projected:  NR

 

54:  Washington Wizards – Dereon Seabron

North Carolina State, SG, Redshirt Sophomore, 22, 6’7, 180 lbs.

Previously Projected:  56

 

55:  Golden State Warriors – Jabari Walker

Colorado, SF/PF, Sophomore, 19, 6’8, 200 lbs.

Previously Projected:  58

 

56:  Cleveland Cavaliers – Yannick Nzoa

Unicaja (Spain), Center, 18, 7’0, 174 lbs.

Previously Projected:  55

 

57:  Portland Trail Blazers – Keon Ellis

Alabama, SG, Senior, 22, 6’6, 170 lbs.

Previously Projected:  NR

 

58:  Indiana Pacers – Alondes Williams

Wake Forest, SG/PG, Redshirt Senior, 23, 6’5, 201 lbs.

Previously Projected:  43

 

 

Previously drafted players who are not drafted in this mock

41:  Leonard Miller, Fort Erie International Academy (Canada), SF, High School Senior

As a note, Miller withdrew from the draft and will be playing for G-League Ignite.

53:  Trevion Williams, Purdue, PF/C, Senior

 

 

Biggest Risers (by % Change, minimum 3 spots changed)

1.       Andrew Nembhard (45 to 35, 10 spots, 22.22%)

2.       Dalen Terry (29 to 23, 6 spots, 20.69%)

3.       Ousmane Dieng (16 to 13, 3 spots, 18.75%)

4.       Jalen Williams (21 to 18, 3 spots, 14.29%)

5.       David Roddy (49 to 43, 6 spots, 12.24%)

 

Biggest Fallers (by % Change, minimum 3 spots changed)

1.       Ryan Rollins (35 to 42, 7 spots, -20%)

2.       Jean Montero (39 to 46, 7 spots, -17.95%)

3.       TyTy Washington (17 to 20, 3 spots, -17.65%)

4.       Alondes Williams (51 to 58, 7 spots, -13.73%)

5.       Walker Kessler (24 to 27, 3 spots, -12.50%)

 

 

Honorable Mentions (the next 10):

·         Trevion Williams, Purdue, PF, Sr

·         Ron Harper Jr., SF/PF, Rutgers, Sr

·         Moussa Diabate, PF, Michigan, Fr

·         Orlando Robinson, C, Fresno State, Jr

·         Karlo Matkovic, PF/C, Mega Basket (Serbia), 21

·         Aminu Mohammad, SG, Georgetown, Fr

·         Julian Champagnie, SF, St. John’s, Jr

·         Matteo Spagnola, PG/SG, Vanoli Cremona (Italy), 19

·         Jamaree Bouyee, PG, San Francisco, Sr

·         Tyrese Martin, SG/SF, UConn, Sr

 

 

Top-15 International Players

There are several international players who end up being drafted despite not being projected due to teams not wanting to fill a draft spot immediately.  Below are the top international players based on where my aggregate currently has them listed.  As a note, not all of these players are expected to be draft-and-stash type players.  Also, this is not including international players who played in college or another American-based league (such as G-League or Overtime Elite) last season.

·         Ousmane Dieng, New Zealand Breakers (New Zealand), SF, 19 (13)

·         Nikola Jovic, Mega Basket (Serbia), SG/SF, 19 (21)

·         Ismael Kamagate, Paris Basketball (France), C, 21 (36)

·         Gabriele Procida, Fortituto Kontatto Bologna (Italy), SG, 20 (48)

·         Khalifa Diop, Herbalife Gran Canaria (Spain), C, 20 (49)

·         Hugo Besson, New Zealand Breakers (New Zealand), PG/SG, 21 (50)

·         Yannick Nzosa, Unicaja (Spain), Center, 18, (56)

·         Karlo Matkovic, Mega Basket (Serbia), PF/C, 21 (63)

·         Matteo Spagnola, Vanoli Cremona (Italy), SG, 19 (66)

·         Ziga Samar, Fuenlabrada (Spain), PG, 21 (79)

·         Gui Santos, Minas (Brazil), SF, 20 (83)

·         Ibou Dianko Bandji, Forca Lleida CE (Spain), C, 19 (85)

·         Kai Sotto, Adelaide (Australia), C, 20 (93)

·         Giordano Bortolani, Universo Treviso (Italy), SG, 21 (96)

·         Luke Travers, Perth (Australia), SG/SF, 20 (102)

 

 

 

Bonus:  My favorite players in the draft

Every year, I naturally gravitate towards certain players who I find fun to watch and enjoy.  While I have teased my favorite players in past drafts, I haven’t actually shared an official list in the past.  I have had much success with my favorites (as some that were in my top-5 any given year include Luka Doncic, Ja Morant, Jayson Tatum, Donovan Mitchell, Michael Porter Jr., and De’Aaron Fox), though I also have my fair share of ones I regret (my most infamous one would probably be Mo Bamba, who was my second favorite in 2018, only behind Doncic).  These are not who I think will be the best in the draft but are just the players I like the most.

1.       Jabari Smith, Auburn, PF, Freshman

2.       AJ Griffin, Duke, SF, Freshman

3.       Keegan Murray, Iowa, SF/PF, Sophomore

4.       Ochai Agbaji, Kansas, SG, Senior

5.       Jalen Duren, Memphis, C, Freshman

6.       Jaden Ivey, Purdue, SG, Sophomore

7.       Chet Holmgren, Gonzaga, C/PF, Freshman

8.       Jeremy Sochan, Baylor, SF/PF, Freshman

9.       E.J. Lidell, Ohio State, PF, Junior

10.   Dyson Daniels, G-League Ignite, SG/SF, 19

 

 

Who excites you in this draft so far?  Any picks you disagree with?  Any potential trades you’re watching?  Let me know in the comments!

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